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Weekly security briefing – 13 to 20 January 2020

Every Monday morning, the Anticip-Risk&Co Group produces a security briefing, reporting and analysing major world events.

This weekly security briefing is specifically intended for business travellers and their supervisors, so that they can anticipate the main risks in their areas of operations. The briefing also offers advice on the right behaviors to adopt.


  1. ANGOLA – Extensive flooding

The floods caused by the torrential rains that hit a large part of Angola between January 5 and 6, 2020, caused significant damage and disruption.

At least 41 people were killed, due to the severe weather.

Further of disturbances and other torrential rains are excepected during the week.


  1. MIDDLE EAST – United States-Iranian tensions 

Business travellers are encouraged to anticipate disruptions and be vigilant in the Middle East region.

Rising tensions in the region are expected, following retaliatory strikes by Iranian forces against US army bases, on the night of January 7 and 8, 2020.

These incidents follow the assassination of General Souleimani on January 3, 2020, causing flight restrictions over the airspace of Iran, Irak and Gulf region.


  1. AUSTRALIA – Bush fires

The US Department of State raised the alert level for Australia on January 8, 2020, following the intensification of bush fires.

The warning level for travellers in Australia has gone from a level 1 (“normal precautions”) to a level 2 (“increased caution”).

Increased caution is advised in Australia for the coming days and weeks.


  1. PHILIPPINES : Luzon island, Manila – Volcanic eruption

Disruptions in services and travel are expected in several parts of the country, including Manila, Quezon City and Batangas province, due to the eruption of the Taal volcano, on January 12, 2020.

Nearly 11,000 families were evacuated from Batangas province because of the ash spewed by the Taal volcano, located about 70 km south of Manila.

All flights to and from Ninoy Aquino International Airport (MNL) have been suspended.

Authorities recommend avoiding the area within a radius of at least 14 km around the Taal volcano.


  1. TOGO : Lomé– Opposition demonstrations

Business travellers are encouraged to be more vigilant.

Activists of the “In no case” movement called for mass demonstrations in Lomé, on January 11 and 13, 2020, to protest against the decision of current President Faure Gnassingbé to run for a fourth term.

Synchronized demonstrations are also announced in eight other cities, including Vogan, Aného, Afangnan, Kpalimé, Atapamé, Sokodé, Kara and Mango.


  1. INDE / SRI LANKA : Tamil Nadu, Jaffna – Traditional Thai Pongal Festival

The traditional Thai Pongal festival is scheduled for January 18 ,2020, in several Indian and Sri Lankan cities.

Thousands of people are expected in the cities of Tamil Nadu (India) and Jaffna (Sri Lanka).

Reinforced security measures and major disturbances are to be expected during these festivities, which will last more than 10 days.


  1. MYANMAR : Naypyidaw – President XI Jinping visit

An official visit by Chinese President Xi Jinping is scheduled to Myanmar, on January 17 and 18, 2020, to discuss bilateral relations and the Belt and Road Initiative construction project.

The details of his trip are still unknown.

The trip coincides with the commemoration of the 70th anniversary of the establishment of diplomatic relations between the two countries.

It is advised to monitor the situation and provide for travel restrictions.


  1. BANGLADESH : Dhaka, Tongi – Religious congregation, security building, disruption

The congregation of Bishwa Itjema will organize gatherings in Dhaka and Tongi from January 10 to 19, 2020.

The gatherings will take place at the ground Itjema, on the banks of the Turag River, which may result in disturbances and restrictions.


  1. UNITED STATES – New Orleans – President Donald Trump visit

A visit by President Donald Trump is scheduled at the Superdome, at 7pm local time (1am UTC, 14 January 2020), to attend the playoff game as part of the National University Football Playoff Championship.

Security measures and disturbances are expected around the Superdome.


  1. ABKHAZIA – Resignation of the President of the autonomous territory, risk of disturbances

The President of the Abkhaz Republic Raul Khadjimba announced his resignation, following anti-government rallies, on January 12, 2020.

This resignation follows strong popular and political pressure, after rioters stormed the building of the presidential administration, on January 9, 2020.

Unrest is also expected in the unrecognized autonomous territory of Georgia.

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